Replying to @mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io

Iowa and New Hampshire are irrelevant for predicting the next Dem president.

Caucastrophies or caucasualties or caucuses are also nonsense.๐Ÿคก

Black men are holding an Africus, and in ours we went to the corner of the room that says that we're not electing any more people with anti-Black policies.๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

In 2019, people were surprised that I predicted the exact date of Buttigieg's stunning collapse.
๐Ÿ”ฎ๐Ÿง™๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Screenshot of a Tweet 

The Tweet contains an animated gif of a man about to jump on a couch.

"I didn't win People Magazine's sexiest man alive award. I wasn't even in the top 3.

But move the polling place to my living room, and suddenly, your boy is surging!

Come to this corner of the living room to vote for me!"
ALT
Screenshot of a Tweet:

"Any student knows, it's kinda hard to get the highest grade in the class, when you skip an assignment that's worth 35% of the final grade.

Similarly, you can't win the Democratic nomination, without connecting with the 35% of registered Dems that are Black and brown."
ALT
Screenshot of Tweet:

The tweet contains an image of a row of very white men.

'If we started election season by going to a place that's 92.9% black, for a thing called an "Africus," prioritizing only black voters, that would seem weird. Even if the etymology of the word Africus had nothing to do with race.

But here we go to lowa again, for our "Caucus!"

'
ALT
Screenshot of Tweet:

The tweet has an image of a poll, showing Buttigieg at 25%, Biden at 15%, Warren at 15%, and Sanders at 9%

'There it is again!

We go to a place with no black folk, and suddenly the candidate that is highly unpopular with black folks looks like he's "surging."

Unless the general election is held in a New Hampshire hockey rink, or a premium outlet mall, this surge doesn't matter.'
ALT

Replying to @mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io

Becerra can probably win California without the Black vote. There aren't that many Black people in California. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทParis has more Black citizens per capita than California. Seriously! Look it up.๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Talarico might still win Texas even after what Dems did to Crockett. Hispanic self-preservation vote.๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

But Buttigieg can't win the presidency. Neither can Rahm Emmanuel.

You can run as many polls or buy as much press as you want. Doesn't matter.

It's not going to happen.

All the fascists run to the GOP side of the see-saw. You need all the Black voters, specifically all the Black men, to counterbalance that.

And we're not going to do that for these dudes.๐Ÿคท๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Replying to @mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io

The best that Dem presidential candidates with anti-Black track records can do, is win the Dem primary... and then lose in the general.

Then write silly and incorrect articles about how "Black men are moving towards Trump!๐Ÿคก"

Dems complete this whole arc without ever having had one real conversation with any of the Black men voters that noped out.๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿฟโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Replying to @jennifersmith@mastodon.online

@jennifersmith

Yes! Lots! Black voters are surprisingly forgiving/ optimistic! Eg: Harris. AOC. Ossoff.

Ossoff is closer to the 2028 presidency than Buttigieg.

He speaks with similar clarity, but adds an understanding of racial issues in the US, and a genuine empathy for Black people that cannot be faked. He doesn't just show up to the closest Black church a few weeks before the election.

m.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmVfa3B

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