aipol

"doing research to understand capabilities of genAI" is one of the only unambiguously reasonable uses of the technology. burying your head in the sand helps nobody, telling others to do the same thing even more so

above all, you must know your enemy

edit: the fact that it is reasonable in principle to research something doesn't mean that you, specifically need to be doing it. we live in a society, you can leave this part to others who are better equipped if you can't or don't want to do it

Replying to an earlier post

re: aipol

@whitequark After burying my head in arxiv for a while I've decided LLMs themselves are interesting (but don't exist in a vacuum). When people call them fancy autocomplete, or make a big deal about non-determinism, I think they're directionally correct in noticing the stank around LLMs and avoiding them, but it still comes from a place of either wilful ignorance or uncritically repeating things they heard on the internet. I don't look up to that or aspire to be like that.

To make a more specific point, I'd like people to stop interpreting everything that comes out of a softmax() as a probability density function just because it's non-negative and sums to 1. Next-token prediction is a useful objective for pre-training because it's a way to kickstart the model to learn higher-level representations unsupervised, but the reason it's called pre-training is you *keep going after that.*

If it wasn't for:

* the data theft,
* the vandalism of public internet infrastructure,
* the environmental damage,
* the widespread copyright laundering and "clean room" re-implementation of code that is in the training data,
* the erosion of social norms around contributing to open source,
* their ability to one-shot intelligent people into believing bullshit,
* their corrosive effect on your intellectual abilities,
* the concentration of the means to write code in a handful of US companies,
* the impending financial crisis,

...then I'd support their use. I don't see most of these changing though. The only actually-open-recipe-open-data models I'm aware of are Nemotron, and they underperform given their size and architecture, so perhaps the secret ingredient is crime.

Jul 5, 2026, 01:55 UTCen

Replying to an earlier post

re: aipol

@wren6991 @whitequark I've been thinking recently that nondeterministic token selection in public LLM services is part of a "Psychic Sports Picks"-like scheme^1. The randomness means that enough people get a good result to sustain the hype.

I've wanted to build a little toy LLM website where whenever a number is produced as outputs it let's you hoverover to see the other output options were possibly/likely.

^1: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_

en.wikipedia.orgList of scams - Wikipedia